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TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares were trading mixed Thursday, after Wall Street recovered some losses from the day before. Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 momentarily reached a record high in early trading but slipped later to finish at 39,598.71, down 1.2%. “The positive handover from Wall Street, alongside lower Treasury yields and a weaker U.S. dollar, may offer some relief as Fed Chair’s testimony failed to drive much hawkish deviation from his usual script,” said Yeap Jun Rong, market analyst at IG. As always, Wall Street scrutinized each of Powell's words for hints about when the Federal Reserve could begin cutting its main interest rate, which is at its highest level since 2001. “We want to see a little more data so we can become more confident.”Traders have already shelved earlier expectations for a cut in March, and they’re now eyeing June as the likeliest beginning.

Persons: Australia's, ”, Yeap Jun Rong, Jerome Powell, CrowdStrike, Steven Mnuchin, Donald Trump, Powell, ” Powell, Rubeela Farooqi, Locker, Brent, Stan Choe Organizations: TOKYO, Wall, Nikkei, IG, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Big Tech, New York Community Bancorp, U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Traders, AP Locations: Hong, Shanghai

☆ Dollar eases as Fed clues awaited; bitcoin hits 2-year high
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. one hundred dollar bills are being shown in this picture illustration taken in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Dec. 15, 2023. The U.S. dollar drifted weaker on Monday, pressured by lower Treasury yields, as traders waited for more crucial economic data for fresh clues on the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The U.S. dollar drifted weaker on Monday, pressured by lower Treasury yields, as traders waited for more crucial economic data for fresh clues on the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The euro was firm following Friday's 0.33% advance, with a European Central Bank, or ECB, policy decision looming on Thursday. That also weighed on Treasury yields, removing additional support for the dollar, with the benchmark 10-year yield sliding as low as 4.178% for the first time in two weeks.

Persons: Bias, Jerome Powell's, Kazuo Ueda, Hajime Takata, Christine Lagarde's, Bitcoin Organizations: U.S, European Central Bank, Bank of, Treasury, Congress, Westpac, ECB Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina

☆ Gold gains as weaker U.S. dollar, yields lift demand
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A worker handles an Argor-Heraeus SA one kilogram gold bar at Solar Capital Gold Zrt. arranged in Budapest, HungaryGold prices rose on Thursday, hovering close to a key $2,000 per ounce level, as an overall weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields buoyed demand for bullion. The dollar was down 0.1% against its rivals after gains in the last two sessions, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell to a two-month low on Wednesday. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold.

Persons: Kelvin Wong, CME's Organizations: Heraeus SA, Solar, U.S, U.S ., Asia Pacific, . U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Budapest, Hungary, ., OANDA

☆ Morning Bid: Risk rally rages on
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, November 20, 2023. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six of its peers, fell to its lowest since Aug. 31. A Reuters poll showed analysts expect the index to continue its more-than-28% rally this year into 2024 to reach a three-decade high of 35,000 by end-June. With the economic calendar bare in Europe, the rally may fizzle out although futures indicate European stock markets are set for a slightly higher open. The spotlight will shine bright on earnings from artificial intelligence chip leader Nvidia (NVDA.O), with expectation of another blockbuster revenue forecast.

Persons: Ankur Banerjee, OpenAI, Emmett Shear, Sam Altman, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Staff, Ankur, Federal, Lower Treasury, Japan's Nikkei, Nvidia, Microsoft, Reuters, Palestinian, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Lower, Europe, Israel, Gaza, Canada

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. The S&P 500 information technology sub-index (.SPLRCT), up 1.6%, was the top gainer among the S&P 500's 11 major sectors, getting its biggest boost from Microsoft's shares (MSFT.O) which touched a record high and were last up 2%. Microsoft will also take on Greg Brockman, another OpenAI cofounder, as well as other researchers. The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) was also closing back in on its year-to-date high reached in July, just a little over 1% below the milestone. The S&P 500 posted 25 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 78 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Bristol Myers, Satya Nadella, Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, Bruce Zaro, Germany's Bayer, decliners, Sinéad Carew, Amruta, Maju Samuel, Pooja Desai, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Microsoft, Bristol, Dow, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Investors, Granite Wealth Management, Dow Jones, Federal, Traders, Graphics, Bristol Myers Squibb, Sunday, Boeing, Deutsche Bank, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Providence , Rhode Island, Thursday's U.S, New York

☆ Buy these stocks that historically win when yields fall, Jefferies says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Lower Treasury yields could be good news for some stocks on Wall Street, according to Jefferies Equity Research. Stocks soared on the news, even as Fed Chair Jerome Powell insisted that efforts to tame persistent inflation have further to go. Treasury yields pulled back after the the November Federal Open Market Committee decision, with the benchmark 10-year note falling 15 basis points. With interest rates now seemingly on the backfoot, Jefferies screened for stocks with a negative correlation to the 10-year Treasury — meaning they historically benefit from lower interest rates. Stocks have a negative correlation to U.S. bond yields, notably 5- and 10-year yields Tech behemoth Microsoft is one of the outstanding beneficiaries to a decline in the 10-year.

Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Dow Jones, Jefferies, Peramunetilleke, Piper Sandler, Horton, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, companyies, Michael Bloom Organizations: Treasury, Jefferies Equity Research, Federal Reserve, Labor, Dow, Microsoft, Horton, Jefferies, Blackstone, Vista Equity Partners, Energy Locations: 2H23, Horton

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets’ bounce may be short-lived
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. But Goldman Sachs' chief equity strategist thinks such negative sentiment gives rise to a "buying opportunity," especially for a certain type of stock that boasts a healthy balance sheet . But not for Tesla Tesla shares sank nearly 5% after Panasonic said it was reducing production of electric batteries because of flagging demand for Tesla's vehicles. The spread in opinions may make the picture ahead murky, but, ironically, it does make one thing clear: markets are increasingly volatile.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Tesla, Elon Musk, Europe's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Hogan, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Wald, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson —, — Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Consumers, U.S, Panasonic, Dow, Industrial, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Technology, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Riley, Federal Reserve, Lower Treasury Locations: New York City, Lower

REUTERS/Issei Kato Acquire Licensing RightsOct 24 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. September's PMIs showed that manufacturing activity in Japan and Australia shrank and services sector activity grew, although growth in Japan was the slowest this year. The big picture, however, is still dominated by the ebb and flow of the U.S. Treasuries market. And while a broad easing of financial conditions on Monday - lower Treasury yields and a weaker dollar - should support emerging market assets, Wall Street's late downward drift will warrant caution. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan and MSCI global emerging market indexes are both down around 13% over the past three months and on Monday both hit their lowest level since Nov. 11 last year.

Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, bode, Michele Bullock, September's PMIs, Wall, Goldman Sachs, outflows, Goldman, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Reserve Bank of Australia, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Korean, Australia, Asia, China, South Korea

☆ UK stocks fall after Bailey's hawkish tone on interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Khushi Singh | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The commodity-focussed FTSE 100 (.FTSE) was down 0.1%, while the mid-cap index FTSE 250 (.FTMC) lost 0.5%. The yield on the UK benchmark bond edged higher after Bailey's comments but remained lower for the day at 4.402%. "Although higher dollar and yields would typically weaken gold, the geopolitical concerns are pushing gold higher," said Giles Coghlan, chief market analyst at GCFX. Industrial metal miners (.FTNMX551020) also advanced 0.6% following a rise in copper prices. UK wealth manager St James's Place (SJP.L) was pushed by regulators to overhaul fees, with the stock tumbling 13.5% to the bottom of the FTSE 100.

Persons: Toby Melville, Ashmore, Andrew Bailey, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, Giles Coghlan, Coghlan, St James's, Khushi Singh, Sonia Cheema, Sohini Organizations: London Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Bank of England, Mining, Shell, BP, St, Thomson Locations: Canary Wharf, London, Britain, James's, Iran, Israel, China, Bengaluru

☆ Global shares rise, dollar rebounds as Fed seen on target for rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Retail sales increased 0.2% last month, the U.S. Commerce Department said, but core retail sales increased 0.6%, excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services. Headline data for May also was revised higher to show sales gaining 0.5% instead of 0.3% as previously reported. Asian stocks fell earlier in the session as markets caught up with growth data from Monday showing the post-pandemic bounce in China's economy was over. Besides the Fed, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan also hold policy meetings next week. Expectations that the Fed and the ECB will diverge on rate hikes have caused the dollar to weaken recently.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Jimmy Chang, Chang, J.P, Morgan, Fiona Cincotta, DAX, Brent, Herbert Lash, Elizabeth Howcroft, Selina Li, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Bank, Federal, Bank of America, U.S . Commerce Department, Rockefeller, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of, ECB, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Europe, China, Germany, Bank of Japan, London, Hong Kong

☆ Gold rises as traders hunker down for economic cues
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Spot gold was up 0.35% to $1,996.12 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures settled 0.34% higher at $2,006.60. The rival safe-haven dollar rose 0.5%, making bullion more expensive for buyers holding other currencies, while benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell by their largest amount since March. A weak U.S. consumer confidence report and lackluster manufacturing data fanned fears of economic slowdown, lowering the bets for a rate hike next week. While gold is considered a safe haven during economic uncertainties, higher interest rates dull appeal for zero-yield bullion. Traders also took stock of U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's warning that failure by Congress to raise the government's debt ceiling would trigger an "economic catastrophe" that would send interest rates higher for years to come.

☆ What to watch for in the markets in the week ahead: Monster tech earnings, then sell in May?
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

More than one third (35%) of the S & P 500 reports earnings next week — including megacaps Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta Platforms and Amazon — versus less than 12% in the week just ended and only 2% last week. So far this quarter, S & P 500 earnings are running 4.7% below the same period a year ago, Refinitiv data shows. Back then, the S & P 500 fell 19.4% from its April high to a low on October 3. Meanwhile, next week is the last full trading week before Wall Street's old adage to "sell in May and go away" takes hold. ET: FHFA Home Price index (February); S & P Case-Shiller home price indexes (February) 10:00 a.m.

☆ Gold ticks up as U.S. inflation data fuels bets for rate hike pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices inched higher for a third consecutive session on Thursday, as milder-than-expected U.S. inflation data prompted bets that the Federal Reserve might raise rates just once more before pausing. U.S. gold futures rose 0.3% to $2,031.40. Gold prices rose over 1% on Wednesday after data showed the U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 0.1% last month, compared with expectations of a 0.2% increase, after advancing 0.4% in February. Recession concerns are "allowing gold prices to ride on its safe-haven status ... while technical conditions are revealing some moderation in upward momentum on recent highs," IG's Yeap said. Spot silver fell 0.3% to $25.39 per ounce, platinum lost 0.3% to $1,011.86 and palladium dipped 0.5% to $1,452.08.

☆ Gold ticks up as US inflation data fuels bets for rate-hike pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Kavya Guduru | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SummarySummary Companies Gold advances for third consecutive sessionMarkets pricing in 25-bp rate hike in MayApril 13 (Reuters) - Gold prices inched higher for a third consecutive session on Thursday, as cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data spurred bets that the Federal Reserve might raise rates once more next month before pausing hikes. Spot gold was up 0.1% at $2,016.99 per ounce, as of 0332 GMT. Gold prices rose more than 1% on Wednesday after data showed the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.1% last month, compared with expectations for a 0.2% increase, after advancing 0.4% in February. Gold is considered an inflation hedge, but rising interest rates reduce the appeal of non-yielding bullion. Recession concerns are "allowing gold prices to ride on its safe-haven status... while technical conditions are revealing some moderation in upward momentum on recent highs," IG's Yeap added.

☆ Wall Street gains, Treasury yields soften ahead of Powell testimony
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-06 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/4] The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, March 3, 2023. All three major U.S. stock indexes gained ground on Monday, appearing to extend last week's rally, with lower Treasury yields boosting interest rate-sensitive megacap stocks. European shares reversed earlier gains and were last essentially unchanged after modest China growth estimates suggested a possible dampening of demand for European goods. Emerging market stocks rose 0.64%. Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields continued to ease as dampening demand supported hopes that the Fed is approaching the end of its rate-hike phase.

Rising bond yields tend to weigh on equity valuations, particularly those of growth and technology stocks, as higher rates reduce the value of future cash flows. The three main U.S. stock indexes rallied on Friday and notched weekly gains as yields pulled back from their peaks after comments from Fed policymakers calmed jitters around aggressive rate hikes. Traders expect at least three more 25-basis-point hikes this year and see interest rates peaking at 5.44% by September from 4.67% now. ET, to assess the impact of higher rates on the manufacturing sector. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Bansari Mayur Kamdar in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

[1/2] U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 196,000 for the week ended Feb. 4, data showed. In late morning trading, the dollar index fell 0.7% to 102.74 . The euro , the biggest component in the dollar index, climbed 0.6% to $1.078, while sterling rose 0.9% to $1.2179 , with both boosted by improving risk sentiment across markets. The dollar fell 0.4% against the Japanese yen to 130.92 .

The Fed, ECB, and BoE have spoken, and the market's message is: We hear you, but we don't believe you. Wall Street and world stocks have jumped, bond yields are tumbling, and economists and rates futures markets are scaling back central bank hiking expectations. Contrary to what policymakers are surely aiming for, financial conditions are easing. According to Goldman Sachs, U.S. financial conditions are the loosest since August and have eased 150 basis points since mid-October. The falling dollar and lower Treasury yields have helped loosen financial conditions across most of emerging Asia in recent weeks too.

While loans can be cheaper than issuing bonds, shorter-term debt is currently more expensive than longer tenors. Typically companies take a bridge loan to fund mergers but then pay it down with a long-dated bond issue before closing. The tech giant also doubled the size of its commercial paper program to $6 billion and said that it could expand the size of the term loan to $6 billion. "If a term loan is necessary due to timing of the deal closing, we expect to pay it back quickly," the company said. In the market for junk bonds, for example, some companies are paying higher rates to raise funds.

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